Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.095205 3.461130 3.857238 4.318557 4.841916 5.418188 6.102117
2024-10-20 2.530746 3.010690 3.566934 4.261799 5.110130 6.116594 7.407707
2024-10-27 2.082457 2.591916 3.212725 4.029751 5.083869 6.407665 8.211136
2024-11-03 1.857363 2.399855 3.089059 4.036693 5.317940 7.007286 9.431866
2024-11-10 1.718837 2.294181 3.052178 4.135311 5.661848 7.764235 10.927083
2024-11-17 1.582793 2.172992 2.975572 4.161821 5.896192 8.379337 12.276514
2024-11-24 1.468471 2.067774 2.906339 4.184382 6.116700 8.983840 13.663932
2024-12-01 1.369448 1.973406 2.840843 4.200727 6.321619 9.575027 15.085113
2024-12-08 1.254051 1.844231 2.711640 4.105957 6.341623 9.875031 16.062140
2024-12-15 1.171952 1.757390 2.637082 4.085733 6.471774 10.354296 17.378891
2024-12-22 1.094389 1.670926 2.555210 4.044599 6.560255 10.767493 18.619372
2024-12-29 1.070087 1.665275 2.598260 4.207848 7.000780 11.811685 21.097009
2025-01-05 1.008561 1.597145 2.538383 4.198515 7.151905 12.380899 22.795889
2025-01-12 0.946469 1.523628 2.464145 4.158129 7.244148 12.853453 24.369638
2025-01-19 0.856791 1.398006 2.293736 3.935249 6.985206 12.651798 24.584980
2025-01-26 0.815852 1.351836 2.254761 3.942635 7.150660 13.263793 26.523054
2025-02-02 0.792992 1.334920 2.264685 4.038839 7.491319 14.246713 29.360959
2025-02-09 0.760679 1.299099 2.238362 4.064693 7.696604 14.978943 31.748940
2025-02-16 0.730232 1.264468 2.211488 4.086676 7.894968 15.714936 34.238984
2025-02-23 0.701149 1.230328 2.182947 4.102600 8.081385 16.442869 36.804684
2025-03-02 0.659570 1.170637 2.102928 4.010281 8.033924 16.661745 38.185990
2025-03-09 0.630549 1.132489 2.060880 3.990579 8.137433 17.220210 40.466680
2025-03-16 0.600991 1.091556 2.010838 3.950506 8.192828 17.674908 42.546450